Sorry to be a doom and gloom merchant but I’m miserable, grumpy and angry about our Brexit disaster and the long and winding road ahead of us. This is not the end of the beginning as quoted in several papers, this is the beginning of the end. NOT LEAST I am cross because bloody David Cameron is getting paid a fortune by a Ukrainian billionaire to tell a crowd at an event that he “was a Eurosceptic all along.” Honestly. WTF. No one should pay him to speak after what he has done to divide the country.
It comes as no surprise that Theresa May’s Brexit launch has already suffered a series of heavy blows after the key issues in her opening strategy were rejected outright by Europe’s top politicians. Angela Merkell publically dismissed her plan to being talks on a lucrative trade deal saying negotiations on Britain’s EU “divorce” (AND BY THE WAY STOP CALLING IT A DIVORCE – NOT APPROPRIATE TERMINOLOGY) – including a bill for up to 60bn Euros must come first. Whatever we try and agree will not be straightforward. Politics will cut across it dramatically without a doubt. Even if some of the key European leaders are happy to seek middle ground, any one of the 27 rejected member nations of the European Union could hijack the proceedings with their demands. I assume I am not the only to be feeling miserable about this state of affairs and I’ve not seen anything so far to make me feel more optimistic. I don’t even want to think about her threats to withdraw information from Europol and the security issues.
Did anyone who voted for Brexit actually think any of this stuff through? What has happened to our progressive global outlook and who are we trying to kid pretending that it will all be fine, we are going to become a pathetic, shrivelled up little island who nobody wants to play with anymore. It saddens me hugely and the government had better lose their adopted “no-comment” strategy PDQ, as insisting on not saying anything is going to become more and more difficult and frustrating all round.
For a start, triggering Brexit has prompted a spike in online hate speech. This is horrendous. I’m worrying about all the EU citizens whose lives have now been put in jeopardy – or at least uncertainty. This is a basic human rights issue and committing to not rolling back the rights of European migrants is an important first step. They must not be used as political bargaining chips. When will they know whether they and their children will still be welcome here? What rights will they have after the UK has left the EU if they don’t have British citizenship? Will EU citizens be seen as intruders and treated as a ‘second-class citizens’ just because of where they come from, irrespective of what they bring and how long they have been here? Are they going to have two years of feeling unwanted and rejected and therefore their efforts to further integrate into the local communities and financial contributions will not be properly recognised? This country is their home too and I am ashamed and astonished that we are choosing to create such fear and isolation amongst those who worry about their rights being taken away. European leaders have consistently reaffirmed that remaining in the single market requires that Britain accept the free movement of people. That collides with a primary aim of many Brexit supporters — restricting immigration.
“There were predictions about what would happen to the economy if the United Kingdom voted to leave,” Ms. May told Parliament on Wednesday as she triggered Article 50. “Those predictions have not proved to be correct. We see a strong economy.” THAT’S BECAUSE NOTHING HAS HAPPENED YET and will continue not to happen FOR THE NEXT TWO YEARS. SORRY I”M BEING SHOUTY BUT I CAN’T HELP IT. We now have two years of talks and negotiations. TWO YEARS. For a start are we seriously going to have to listen to and read news reports every single day for the next two years as we all try to understand the magnitude of the issues to hand? This is going to be very tedious indeed and none of us understand the leap into the dark that we are taking. I cannot imagine that anyone who voted for us to leave has actually thought this through at all. The deadline for all this to be finally sorted will in fact be on April Fool’s Day 2019. How appropriate. It could be 10 years before all the legislation gets sorted out on “The Great Repeal Bill. Is this not a massively backward step? I just don’t understand what on earth we think we are doing trying to extract ourselves from this monolith whilst expecting to come out smelling of roses. How can there be piecemeal negotiations in the absence of an overall trade agreement? It took Canada seven years to do a trade deal with the EU, so two years seems wildly unrealistic.
Why do we presume we are going to get a good deal out of this? “It’s common sense,” said Mr. Véron, an economist. “You don’t allow someone who leaves the club to have better terms than someone who’s in the club, or otherwise the club doesn’t mean anything.” We are leaving one of the biggest clubs on the planet – the largest consumer market on earth and the outcome will almost certainly be costly. Not only have we jeopardised our trading relationship with Europe, but we are about to lose London’s status as banker to the world if they become effectively severed from Europe.
In the next two years of uncertainty we are bound to see not only the financial industry moving jobs to other more secure financial capitals, but other industries too and I’m sure we will start to see very observable, concrete consequences of Brexit very soon that we can do nothing about. Estimates suggest that as many as 35,000 British jobs could disappear with a split from the E.U. as companies seek offices elsewhere.
This is a disaster. What can we do about it? I don’t want to do nothing.